Sunday, December 16, 2007

Three Things You Did Not Learn In School

Three Things You Did Not Learn In School

Back in the summer of 2002 our son completed 9th grade and was on target to attend Woodinville High School. On our annual summer hike, as we conversed about the challenges and opportunities of the next year, I said: "By all means excel in your studies and in the subjects you like. Just know that school, with all its many good things, is not going to teach you the three most vital skills that are a struggle and preoccupation for adults. You have to learn to manage these skills in this life if you are to be independent and free, and to succeed and thrive."

Hiking the Pacific Northwest provided a great background for our conversation. The turns of the trail offered natural commas, periods and exclamation marks; the forest provided the cathedral of nature and the mountain lake we were heading toward made for a natural point of realization. We played the "Can you guess the three skills?" game and then zeroed in on them:


The three skills are:

First - Learn to manage your energy

Second - Learn to manage your relationships

Third - Learn to manage your money

I sought to be a good father preparing his son for the future and said: "School will not teach you these skills. You must discover for yourself how to best manage your energy; you have to find out how to build and hold relationships and you've got to learn to manage your money."

Let's see what areas of knowledge are included in each of these three skills:


First - To manage your energy you need to

1. …know yourself.
2. …understand your strengths and talents.
3. …recognize your vulnerabilities and weaknesses.
4. …use your body wisely.
5. …manage your emotions.
6. …discover what relaxes you and how to rest well.
7. …appreciate what energizes you and gets you going.
8. …identify what drains you and minimize its presence in your life.
9. …discover what you enjoy and what helps you grow.
10. …clarify your goals, aims and purpose.


Second - To manage your relationships you need to…

1. …learn to be a good listener.
2. …build the capacity to appreciate another person's viewpoint.
3. …practice clear and eloquent communication.
4. …seek to understand before you expect to be understood.
5. …develop inter-personal effectiveness.
6. …understand the anatomy of trust and how to build it.
7. …cultivate emotional and social intelligence.
8. …learn to say NO.
9. …develop genuine interest in other people's experience.
10. …be an effective leader, a wise follower and a great collaborator.


Third - To manage your money you need to…

1. …understand the nature of money and your relationships with it.
2. …appreciate the difference between "want" and "must" in all areas of life.
3. …recognize that what matters is not how much you earn but how much you spend.
4. …make a commitment to pay yourself first. Automatically save at least 10% of your income. If you can do more, do more.
5. …build an emergency cushion of cash - three to six months expenses.
6. …interview as many financial planners as you need in order to find a trusted advisor. Make sure you understand what they say.
7. …have a financial plan. Identify the best retirement account you can have and make the maximum contribution allowed.
8. …simplify your life: automate your bills. Accelerate paying your mortgage payments.
9. …be clear about the difference between good debt and bad debt. Don't do bad debt.
10. …understand the difference between working for money and money working for you. And remember the one you work for is waiting for you at home.


In an enlightened 21st century world youth would be coached in these three areas. Every 18-year-old needs to know how to handle and manage these three important currencies that will ultimately determine how much he or she can enjoy life:

1st - Energetic currency

2nd - Relational currency

3rd - Financial currency

Now it's your turn. Turn the key. Be your own leader.

Sunday, July 15, 2007

IIM C overhauling curriculum - may be LD is also included...

IIM-C going in for curriculum overhaul

Pradipta Mukherjee / Kolkata July 09, 2007



To keep its students up-to-date with new management and business strategies, the Indian Institute of Management-Calcutta (IIM-C) is going in for a major curriculum overhaul after a gap of nearly eight years. The last time it did this exercise was in 1999.
A skeletal framework of the revised curriculum has been submitted to the board of governors and the faculty. A final call will be taken in another two months with the new curriculum scheduled to be introduced from the 2008 session.
“So far, we have been able to decide on the framework. We should be able to take a final call on what we should include and what all should be dropped from the current curriculum in another two months,” said Shekhar Chaudhuri, director, IIM-C.
“Although all teachers at IIM-C keep making changes to the syllabus from time to time, a major curriculum overhaul is done after every 10 years or so. This is important to ensure that IIM-C will teach what is latest and best in business and management. Also the course itself should be likeable to the students and at par with other overseas institutes so that there is ease during student exchange programmes and cross-cultural learning,” Chaudhuri explained.
The revised curriculum will be a mix of topics that would include subjects that have been the trademark of the institute and at the same time new subjects that reflect a trend in business management programmes across the globe.
So, while theory, finance and analysis will continue to be a part of the curriculum, courses in behavioural science, conflict management, psychology, human values, business communication and entrepreneurship development could also be included.
The new syllabus is also likely to be a mix of case studies, problem solving in real life and at the same time include the traditional method of theory and finance.
“We have looked into the syllabus of some of the best B-schools of the world, like Wharton-Kellog, Harvard, University of Chicago,” added Chaudhuri.
The new syllabus would also include feedback taken from the faculty, students and the alumni. Once the framework is approved, the faculty at IIM-C may need to go in for a short training on the new curriculum before it is finally rolled out in 2008.
Preview of the revised syllabus
  • Theory, finance and analysis to stay
  • Behavioural science, conflict management, psychology, human values, business communication and entrepreneurship development could also be included
  • Likely to be a mix of case studies and problem-solving in real life
  • Cues taken from some of the best B-schools of the world -- Wharton-Kellog, Harvard and University of Chicago
  • Will be finally rolled out in 2008
  • Wednesday, July 11, 2007

    CEO Etiquettes - The missing link


    Kindness Pays Dividends

    It might sound like an oxymoron, but Steve Harrison is a business ethicist. He's worked at the outplacement firm Lee Hech Harrison for 25 years helping fired employees get back on their feet. In that time he's witnessed some pretty despicable behavior by companies.

    With the bad comes the good, though. And it's the kind behavior that he discusses in his new book, The Manager's Book of Decencies: How Small Gestures Build Great Companies (McGraw-Hill, $24.95). Aside from just being a nice person, Harrison argues that small gestures such as learning employees' names goes a long way toward creating a loyal staff. His argument: A loyal staff equals a productive staff and a productive staff equals a successful business.

    In Pictures: Big Impact From Small Gestures

    Among his observations: CEOs who answer their own phone hear fewer complaints and the best day to fire someone is a Wednesday. Harrison recently explained that logic to Forbes.com.

    You say that managers should fire employees on Wednesday. Why? What makes Wednesday better than say, Monday?

    Harrison: It's all about preserving the dignity of the terminated individual. Being terminated means rejection. It's a personal setback. Avoid Friday because the person's support systems aren't there. The outsourcing service and human resources people who will help them aren't there to give advice on the weekend. If you get fired on Friday you have two days to stew and get really angry.

    In the middle of the week the employee has a support system and several days to adjust before the weekend arrives.

    Why should a company be concerned with making the employee feel better?

    There's a talent shortage these days. Why make enemies? You never know if you're going to ask that employee to return to work for you. There's no such thing as a perfect downsizing. But people always know when you try to make a well-thought-out event.

    We've got the day of the week down. Is there a "best" place and time to fire someone?

    Yes, in the office of the individual being fired or at a nearby conference room. That way he or she doesn't have to walk through an office full of people who may know what's going on. Also, the employee can sit and get recomposed; make a call if necessary.

    As for time of day--late in the morning or at noon when people are going out for lunch. Or, later in the afternoon as people are leaving and finishing up their day. The idea is to set up the prospect of the fewest possible people being there. The worst time to do it is 5:00 p.m. or 5:30 p.m. on Friday.

    Never say, "It wasn't my idea. I'm just carrying out orders." That's not leader-like. It requires courage, sensitivity and decency. The little things count.

    Firing someone with decency is also good for the remaining people. It shows that the company has compassion during a difficult time.

    Why write this book?

    We're an outplacing firm so we are observers of leadership performance. I became interested in this topic in particular after Enron, when federal sentencing guidelines for corporate malfeasance came out. One way companies can lessen their fine is if they tried to "promote an ethical culture." But the feds couldn't say exactly what that meant.

    I decided to write a book proposing what an ethical culture means. They're small acts that are not part of the corporate conduct manual or a company's policy manuals. I studied companies that did the little things that don't cost anything that are tangible. After all, the boss of a company isn't just the boss. He or she is the mayor of a community.

    Which companies are best at this practice?

    Five CEOs really get it. Reuben Mark of Colgate-Palmolive (nyse: CL - news - people ). He's the poster child for decency and humility. His philosophy is, "I make sure nothing important or big-time creative is ever perceived as my idea." He'll walk onto the factory floor in Mexico City and tell a joke in Spanish. He's a mensch.

    Ken Iverson, former CEO of the American steel company Nucor (nyse: NUE - news - people ). He answered his own phone, did not permit privileged parking spaces or luncheon spaces. He had everyone--including himself--on the same compensation plan. He was the laureate of egalitarianism.

    Doug Conant, CEO of Campbell Soup Co. (nyse: CPB - news - people ). At the end of many workdays he sits with a few of his direct reports and asks about things people have done that have gone above and beyond. He listens to the stories and he writes "thank you" notes on cards in his own hand specific to what the employee did. In terms of a retention character, it's huge.

    Herb Baum, former CEO of Dial. He did "hot dogs with Herb." He walked onto a factory floor or an office unannounced and served lunch and answered questions until the last person's question was answered.

    Herb Kelleher, founder and CEO of Southwest Airlines (nyse: LUV - news - people ). His motto is "there's no such thing as little people." He identified people in unglamorous jobs and made heroes of them. Facility people were given the Top Wrench award and the maintenance crew was given the Top Cleaner award. He looks to put people into the spotlight people who weren't in the spotlight.

    In Pictures: Big Impact From Small Gestures

    source: Forbes.com

    Saturday, June 23, 2007

    Pay zero tax on unlimited gains!

    India has truly become a tax haven. If you are willing to take market-related risks, you can arrange your affairs in such a fashion that you don't have to pay even one single rupee as tax, irrespective of the extent of your gains.

    And, it's all perfectly above board and legal! Here's how.

    With a view to giving a boost to the Indian equity market, successive recent finance ministers have doled out many tax concessions to the income and gains from:

    • Shares traded on a recognised stock exchange in India, and
    • Equity-based mutual fund schemes (equity funds).

    Now, all you have to do is to park all your funds available for investment in either of these two avenues -- and relax.

    The dividends are tax-free, and so are all long-term capital gains. The only question that needs an answer is -- which of the two avenues should you choose?

    Table 1 below presents a comparative gist of all the currently prevalent costs and taxes on shares and equity funds.

    Table 1: Comparative Analysis between Shares & Equity Funds

    Transactions


    Equities

    Equity-based MFs

    Purchase

    - Brokerage

    Around 0.5%

    Nil


    - STT

    0.125%

    Nil


    - Entry Load

    Nil

    Around 2%

    Sale

    - Brokerage

    Around 0.5%

    Nil


    - STT

    0.125%

    0.25%

    Dividend

    - Income Tax

    Nil

    Nil


    - Distribution Tax

    16.995%

    Nil

    Capital Gains

    - Short-term

    10.3%

    10.3%


    - Long-term

    Nil

    Nil

    Exit Load


    Nil

    Load on Early Exits

    Effect of Dividend on Price / NAV

    Small

    Full Reduction

    Annual Management fees of AMC

    Nil

    Around 1%

    Risk

    High

    Medium

    Let us compare these two avenues, item by item. At the first glance it might appear that equity mutual funds are superior to direct investment in shares because:

    1. You don't have to pay brokerage for equity funds whether at purchase or sale. This, however, is more than offset by the entry/exit loads and AMC (Asset Management Company) fees.

    2. No STT (Securities Transaction Tax) for mutual funds at purchase. This is compensated by double the STT at sale by mutual funds. Good for long-term investors in mutual funds.

    3. Mutual funds are exempt from Dividend Distribution Tax (DDT) of 16.995%. (The Finance Act 2006 extended this benefit to closed-end equity funds as well.) Don't get overly lured by this, however.

    DDT is charged to mutual funds when they receive dividends from companies they have invested in. Charging DDT to you when you receive any dividend from a mutual fund would amount to double taxation.

    Personally, I don't like either the dividend or the dividend reinvestment options of mutual funds. The quantum of dividends paid, whether by mutual funds or by companies, is, both, variable and uncertain, rendering the planning of day-to-day expenses difficult.

    The growth option of mutual funds bypasses this difficulty. The growth option is better than the dividend option only for this one reason and not because it bypasses DDT by converting the dividend into growth. Purely from a taxation point of view, the two options are equivalent since in both cases there is no DDT, the dividend is tax-exempt, and so are the long-term capital gains.

    The real edge equity funds have over shares for most investors

    As we saw from the above comparison, there isn't much to choose between shares and equity mutual funds so far as their respective costs and taxes go. Yes, mutual funds charge loads to cover their expenses of market transactions and also a small fee for nursing and monitoring your investments. But it is worth paying the price because:

    1. Mutual funds make personal monitoring unnecessary: Mutual funds undertake the rigours of the monitoring and keeping tabs on your portfolio. You receive the benefit of their expertise in handling and tracking the market.

    2. Mutual funds are akin to savings bank accounts: When investing in an open-ended equity fund scheme, an investor can deposit money any time s/he has investible funds and, similarly, can redeem, partly or fully, any time s/he needs funds. The repayment is effected within 5 working days at most. Thus, such schemes have virtually become savings bank accounts -- and with tax-free returns, to boot.

    3. Systematic withdrawal facility: A good strategy is to withdraw as much as you need at some fixed periodicity of your choice. For instance, you may withdraw on a monthly, quarterly, 6-monthly or annual basis to meet your expenses.

    Tax-smart: Zero tax even on short-term capital gains

    If you are forced to redeem your mutual fund units in the short-term horizon, namely within 12 months of their purchase, whether partially or in full, tax is payable @ 10.3% on any short-term gains thus made.

    Can we avoid this? Let us see how:

    Remember that you have parked all your investible funds in the growth option of an equity fund. Now, imagine that you had a capital of Rs 100 lakh (Rs 10 million) with which you bought 10 lakh (1 million) units of Rs 10 each. Suppose the NAV (Net Asset Value) has grown by 10% to Rs 11 per unit, and thus the value of your investment has become Rs 1.10 crore (Rs 11 million). Of this, you redeem 90,909 units worth Rs 10 lakh (Rs 1 million) before 12 months, which still leaves your original investment of Rs 100 lakh invested in the mutual fund intact.

    Now comes the best part.

    The short-term capital gain you have made is Re 1 per redeemed unit, i.e. Rs 90,910. You have no other income. The tax threshold, below which no tax is payable, is Rs 110,000. Ergo, you have Rs 10 lakh (Rs 1 million) for your household expenses from short-term capital gains - and, at zero tax!

    Convinced now that India is truly an incredible tax haven for an informed investor? The only pre-condition you need to fulfill in order to benefit from this big-bang tax break is to familiarize yourself with the basics of investing in equity funds and grasp some simple strategies that can significantly reduce the market-related risk of equity investing.

    Excerpt from:

    Taxpayer to Taxsaver (F.Y. 2007-08)

    By A N Shanbhag

    Publisher: Vision Books

    source: Rediff.com

    Friday, June 15, 2007

    Banglore Tiger!!!

    Documenting Wipro's Rise: 'It Challenges Other Companies to Strive for Excellence'

    Published: June 14, 2007 in Knowledge@Wharton

    The story of how Western India Vegetable Products morphed from a disorganized agriculture-based manufacturing and distribution company into Wipro, the third biggest global tech services provider (behind Tata Consultancy Services and Infosys), is fairly well known in India.

    In the summer of 1966, when Azim Premji was 21 and about to graduate from Stanford University, he was called home to Bombay to take the reins of the family business after his father's sudden death. Premji first modernized the vegetable oil business he had never wanted to run. Then, as opportunities presented themselves, he expanded. When IBM left India in the late 1970s, he saw the opportunity to get into the computer business. When the Indian economy began to open up in the 1990s, he started to build up what would become a global Business Process Outsourcing (BPO) powerhouse.

    Steve Hamm tells the story of Wipro in Bangalore Tiger: How Indian Tech Upstart Wipro Is Rewriting the Rules of Global Competition. A senior writer and the software editor at BusinessWeek, Hamm has been a business journalist for more than 20 years, has followed the tech industry for a little less than 20 years and has been chronicling the emerging tech services industry in India since 2001.

    The intertwined stories here -- those of Wipro, Premji, India and the evolving worlds of commerce and technology -- are important and worth reading.

    A Good Face for Brand India

    Azim Premji, whom Knowledge@Wharton has interviewed, comes across particularly well: intelligent, creative, focused and flexible. His zeal for understanding, rationalizing and then constantly tuning and improving systems -- perhaps, in part, a product of his education as an engineer -- is clearly one of the cornerstones of Wipro's success. The fact that "India's Bill Gates" is a Muslim burnishes India's multicultural credentials.

    One of Hamm's primary points is that Wipro gives us a view of where things are heading globally, and he phrases this in language with an evangelical caste to it. "Wipro is not just a company," he writes. "It's a quest. And, in a fiercely competitive and rapidly changing business environment, no company that is not also a quest can succeed for long. Bottom line: Wipro matters because it challenges other companies to strive for excellence."

    Hamm documents the degree to which this quest has been built on egalitarian principles. Premji and his executives come across as having broader concerns than profit and expansion -- from their desire to set a clear moral example, to a commitment to educating their employees and themselves, to a deep and ongoing devotion to transforming India, both economically and culturally. All of those things, of course, redound to the success of the company. They also serve as examples of the benefits of long-term thinking.

    Refusing to pay bribes may cost a company business, but a reputation for being incorruptible will likely bring more. It is expensive to educate employees -- particularly given the danger that you might be educating the competition when and if they leave -- but it is more expensive to lose employees. One can argue about the appropriate role of a company in the larger society -- Premji's foundation supports education, down to the elementary level -- but if India is not successful in broad terms, the chances for any Indian company, at home or in the global arena, are diminished.

    One of the core aspects of the Wipro story, and of Hamm's persuasive view of the current and future global business environment, is the degree to which success often hinges on flexibility and planning. The successful entrepreneur or manager is one who, on putting a process or business deal in place -- the IT infrastructure of a hospital, for example -- understands and accepts that getting things right is always temporary.

    You can't relax even if you feel that things are running "perfectly," because all that means is that things are running "perfectly" today. Tomorrow will inevitably be different. And waiting to see what happens before considering how to proceed is a recipe for following, not leading, trends. Wipro doesn't just look at tomorrow, Hamm tells us: The company always aims to be looking three years ahead and preparing for the future.

    Starting with the vegetable oil business, Premji consistently brought a higher standard of assessment to his company along a variety of axes. He set a high ethical bar for all employees; he measured what they did and gave them incentives to do better; he focused endlessly on education -- both educating himself and educating his employees at all levels -- to give people the tools to advance.

    "In those first difficult years," Hamm writes, "Premji established a management style and a corporate culture that formed a solid foundation for everything that would come later. While his father's top men had based their decisions on tradition and instincts, he brought numerical measurement and analysis into play. And way before it became de rigueur for Western businesses, he benchmarked each of his managers against the others."

    What to Tell and How to Tell It

    In 1981, Tracy Kidder wrote The Soul of a New Machine, which chronicled the development of Data General's Eclipse mini-computer, meant to compete with Digital Equipment's Vax. The book won a Pulitzer Prize and a National Book Award. It was an early "glimpse-inside-high-tech" at a time when computing was just beginning to penetrate the public consciousness in the U.S. as something other than "Back Office Big Iron" -- invisible mainframes that were abstractions to most people.

    Kidder's book was largely focused "down in the trenches" with the project engineers. Their concerns and their view of both business and technical processes were functional and direct. Hamm spends more time talking to and quoting higher level managers and executives.

    Their concerns often boil down to promoting the brand. That is not to say that what he relays often seems wrong or dishonest. Rather it feels largely beside the point and often repetitive. There is limited use in hearing people repeat that the company seeks to be efficient or honest or forward looking. More interesting and important is how these things are accomplished. More interesting still is hearing about how a company deals with setbacks. That's the situation in which stakeholders of all kinds show both their strengths and their weaknesses, and where readers often learn the most. The Wipro executives, understandably, don't tell us much about what hasn't worked.

    As a journalist, Hamm is working in a venerable tradition. In business schools, students pore over case studies; they learn about business practices and strategies by dissecting concrete examples; they follow the data. Longer-form narratives like Bangalore Tiger serve a related but slightly different function. They come at the subject from another angle.

    The numbers are the numbers. One can map Wipro's corporate structure (as Hamm more or less does), which provides a fascinating and useful overview. But that map only shows what the company has done. It doesn't tell how it was done. "How" is a matter of information but it is also a matter of story. In some ways, Hamm does a good job of telling the story of Wipro; in other ways he falls short.

    The advantage that a journalist has in this situation is the benefit of a sustained and intimate inside view of a company. One of the disadvantages of this approach is that it often disinclines us from taking a more critical perspective.

    Throughout the world and throughout history, there has been no shortage of companies that prospered by paying bribes, exploiting their workers and their customers, and selling inferior goods or services at over-inflated prices. It is the rare modern business seminar, however, in which these methods of operation are extolled as the sure road to success. To say that success is built on ethical conduct, respect for both workers and customers, and selling a high quality product at a competitive price -- variations of which Hamm repeats throughout the book and quotes any number of Wipro executives as saying -- borders on the trite. Google, with perhaps equal measures of humor and seriousness, boils business ethics down to a pithy three words: "Don't Be Evil."

    The book also feels as if it has been assembled in large part from smaller freestanding pieces. There are places where the seams show, where set-piece bits of information are reused or where information is sequenced in a manner more confusing than helpful. In one section, for example, Hamm writes: "Rather than sell a British-based bank only software programming, [Wipro] can also sell the bank IT consulting, manage its desktop computers, and even run its consumer credit card accounts receivable department."

    One wonders immediately how it is possible to outsource the management of desktop computers. Further down the page, Hamm notes that "It's primarily done by employees in India, but some of the work is performed in the client's offices," which mostly deepens the mystery. It isn't until some 17 pages later that we are told, "Wipro has created a portfolio of automated monitoring and maintenance software and process [sic] that allow it to perform 90% of the work from India and only 10% on-site."

    Finally, there are places where it is hard not to at least question Hamm's interpretation of facts or history.

    The reader and the writer need not always agree, and being forced to consider something from a different and unexpected point of view is one of the benefits, and pleasures, of seeing something through someone else's eyes. Authors make choices all the time, in the examples they include or discard, in what they focus on and what they make peripheral. Given Hamm's long immersion in the subject matter dealt with here, however, it is jarring when he hits off-notes, making assertions or assumptions that seem dubious and undermine his authority.

    For example, very early on, in the book's introduction, Hamm points to Mark Andreessen's designing the first web browser in 1993 as one of the crucial pivot points that would eventually facilitate the explosion in remote computing on which the core of Wipro's business has been built. "Andreessen's browser, called Mosaic, democratized the Internet," Hamm writes. "It was an easy-to-use doorway to the Net that made it possible ultimately for anybody in the world with a computer and Internet access to connect with anyone else."

    Fair enough; that's a good description of what happened on the consumer side. But business had been using remote computing of various sorts for decades by then. Businesses were not held back by the network interface. It would make more sense to point to bandwidth, which, from the 1980s on, became ever "fatter," cheaper and more ubiquitous as satellite access became more common, microwave links helped bridge areas where cables were impractical and fiber optic networks were built out to the point where there was a large surplus of bandwidth, which drove transmission costs steeply downward.

    These criticisms aside, Hamm knows the landscape he is writing about. Wipro and Premji are an important and interesting story and the information provided here is valuable; it would have been well worth editing more carefully.



    http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/india/article.cfm?articleid=4202

    Customer Service!!!

    (can we expect such service in India...)

    Counterfeit Colgate Toothpaste Found


    Colgate-Palmolive Company today warned that counterfeit toothpaste falsely packaged as "Colgate" has been found in several dollar-type discount stores in four states: New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and Maryland.

    There are indications that this product does not contain fluoride and may contain Diethylene Glycol. The Company stated that it does not use, nor has ever used, Diethylene Glycol as an ingredient in Colgate toothpaste anywhere in the world.

    The counterfeit toothpaste can be easily recognized because it is labelled as "Manufactured in South Africa." Colgate does not import toothpaste into the United States from South Africa. In addition, the counterfeit packages examined so far have several misspellings including: "isclinically" "SOUTH AFRLCA" "South African Dental Assoxiation."

    Counterfeit toothpaste is not manufactured or distributed by Colgate and has no connection with the Company whatsoever. Colgate is working closely with the U.S. FDA to help to identify those responsible for the counterfeit product.

    Consumers who suspect they may have purchased a counterfeit product can call Colgate's toll-free number at .


    (am not sure in Col Pal has a toll free number in India....may be it has....someone can update on that...)

    (source http://www.cnn.com/2007/US/06/14/dobbs.toothpaste/index.html)

    Saturday, June 9, 2007

    RBI working on harmonised Consumer Price Index

    MUMBAI: To make inflation figures more realistic, the Reserve Bank is planning a 'Harmonised Consumer Price Index' even as the rising clout of services in the consumption basket has made the Wholesale Price Index less representative.

    "In parallel, we are doing technical work on computing a Harmonised Consumer Price Index, and we are in consultation with the government in this regard," RBI Governor said at the Banco Central de Chile.

    There are occasions when divergence between WPI and CPI is larger than usual. In view of these considerations, we do monitor and disseminate all the CPI indicators, he said.

    Reddy said the increasing importance of services in the consumption basket is making the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) - the main measure of inflation - less representative.

    A single CPI index could be even less representative as there is differing consumption trends for the rich and the poor, the rural and the urban and also among regions across the country, he said.

    "We do not have the concept of core inflation but for purposes of analysis as well as articulation, we identify the impact of fuel- and food-price shocks," he said.


    These two items are often subject to shock both external and domestic. The two items also have a large weight in the basket, especially of consumption. It is also difficult, ex ante, to differentiate between the shock and the permanent components, he added.

    Speaking about the inflation target, Reddy said the Reserve Bank, since three years, have nevertheless articulated, with significant impact, tolerance limit of inflation at around five per cent.

    Reddy said that has since been embedded in inflation expectations as noticed in severe adverse reactions when WPI exceeded five per cent.
    The goal is to anchor inflation expectation in India so as to align them with the global levels as soon as possible for ensuring smooth economic integration with the global economy, he said.

    Making a comment on inflationary trend, Reddy said the inflation rate accelerated steadily from an annual average of 1.7 per cent during the 1950s to 6.4 per cent during the 1960s and further to 9.0 per cent in the 1970s before easing marginally to 8.0 per cent in the 1980s.

    However, the inflation rate declined from an average of 11 per cent during to 5.3 per cent during the second half of the 1990s ) and further to 4.9 per cent during , he said.

    More recently during , WPI based inflation rate increased from 4.1 per cent at the end of March 2006 to an intra-year peak of 6.7 per cent at end-January 2007 and remained firm in the range of 6.1-6.6 per cent in the succeeding weeks before moderating to 5.7 per cent by the end of the financial year, he said.
    [http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/News/Economy/Finance/RBI_working_on_harmonised
    _Consumer_Price_Index/articleshow/msid-2110020,curpg-1.cms]

    Wednesday, June 6, 2007

    Where the world has gone to....

    A very interesting case study.....after all those that we had in our classes.....
    This is one short and interactive.....so for the inquisitive....it is here

    Harvard Case Study

    I suggest we discuss this case online either by posting comments here or replying to our group email.

    A healthy discussion will benefit us all as we learned during the course.
    So hope to see your solution to the case either published on Harvard site or well discussed on our communication channels

    -Chetan Shah

    Tuesday, May 29, 2007

    One Cage, Two Birds

    One Cage, Two Birds

    This is a fable about two birds, both caged with food and water.

    One bird rebelled against his conditions, rejected the food and kept knocking his head against the caged door. He was sad and frustrated. “We are doomed to die living this miserable life in this prison,” it said with a hopeless sense of accepting his circumstances.

    The other bird said, "Let’s us enjoy the food and water and fly into freedom at the first opportunity to escape.”

    The chance to escape seemed negligible to non-existent, but the bird remained optimistic and alert to the chance to escape.

    The unexpected opportunity came in the evening when the master came home in a changed mood. He decided to set the birds free.

    But while the bird that remained optimistic and alert to the chance to escape fled the cage into a life of freedom in the skies, the negative bird kept wondering if he will get food out in the open and if he will be able to survive. “It may not be such a great idea to go out and search for food and water when the master is providing everything free,” the negative bird said. Even as it was wallowing in doubts, the master’s wife came and admonished the master and quickly shut the open door before the remaining bird inside could escape. Influenced by his wife’s thoughts, the master thought that he may have erred in his judgment. The master and his wife were happy that they were to keep at least one bird in the cage.

    While the opportunistic bird grabbed the first available chance to a life of freedom, the negative bird paid the price for procrastination to live and die a life of continuing misery in the cage. After years of staying in the cage, life was not easy at the beginning in the outside world, but with passage of time, the free bird truly enjoyed the many joys that were beyond even his imagination inside the cage. The caged bird, on the other hand, led the same drab life and continued to wallow in misery till his very end.

    Many of us, too, find ourselves trapped in a cage. Most of us are like the negative bird: Keep cursing our bosses, our companies, our colleagues and wonder if we ever will get to free ourselves from the hell we find ourselves in. But, like the procrastinating bird, when an opportunity does come our way, we are filled with self-doubts that prevent us from taking the flight to freedom to chart out a life that we dream about. We tend to fool ourselves by thinking that we are in a comfort zone when in reality we are enduring the pangs of survival in the discomfort zone.

    4 Best Words of Investing Advice

    The 4 Best Words of Investing Advice

    There's some great investing advice out there, but plenty of bad advice as well. Like, oh, this pearl of wisdom: "It doesn't matter how high the price is -- buy all the Enron you can."

    While you can spend all day listing smart and useful investment advice, I got to thinking about great advice that's no more than four words long. Here's what I came up with:

    "Buy what you know"
    This is probably the second-most-famous four-word piece of investing advice. This advice comes from, or is at least most popularly attributed to, Peter Lynch's One Up on Wall Street. In a timeless article published several years ago, Jeff Fischer wrote at great length about this phrase:

    [I]t is most often read to mean buy the brands that you know, buy the companies that make products that you like, and buy the company names that you always hear in daily life.

    When large-cap stocks are soaring, this strategy, simple as it is, appears brilliant. "If I just buy IBM, General Electric, and Hershey, I could double my money every three years!" Of course, when large caps go into long periods of rest or retraction, the strategy requires patience and offers less than blistering returns, especially if you "bought what you knew" as it was hitting a seven-year peak.

    "Buy what you know" is one-dimensional advice for three reasons. First, what you know may not be worth investing in. Second, the practice of buying what you know is rarely interpreted to mean buy the business model, the cash flow statement, and the balance sheet that you know backwards and forward. It too often is seen as "buy your favorite brand." Period. If you happen to know and love Kmart, but you didn't learn about its financials, you [were] in a sorry situation because you were an uninformed investor. Third, I've never heard the term "buy what you know" coupled with anything regarding valuation. It seems to be "buy what you know -- at any price."

    Thank you, Jeff. "Buy what you know" may help new investors get comfortable with the process, but it simply won't help you pick particularly good stocks if you don't get into the valuation side of the equation. Plenty of people bought Krispy Kreme (NYSE: KKD) because they knew it, and that was a disaster. Plenty of others have bought Harley-Davidson (NYSE: HOG) because they knew it, and that's worked out fantastically. Simply put, acting on "buy what you know" doesn't lead you down any path in particular.

    "Buy low, sell high"
    I'm pretty sure this is the most famous four-word piece of investing advice ever. As guidance, the phrase is inarguable -- yet largely useless. By definition, if you succeed in buying low and selling high, you've made a profit. Any purchase is made with the expectation -- or at least hope -- that in absolute dollar terms, you're going to be selling at a higher price than what you've bought for. But since the advice itself gives no guidance as to what is "low" and what is "high," it can't be used without a whole lot of addendums. Buy stocks with low P/Es, or at 52-week lows, or during bear markets, or any number of other interpretations of "buying low." Selling high might or might not be useful advice. After all, as Philip Fisher has famously written, and as adopted by Warren Buffett, the best time to sell a stock, if it's properly researched, may be almost never.

    We can all tell plenty of stories about someone selling a stock at a quick profit that seemed high but turned out to be several hundred or thousand percent below what they could have made, had they only held on. Tom Gardner frequently mentions Whole Foods and Daktronics when confessing his own bad calls. Not to pick on Tom -- his results speak for themselves -- but these were mistakes that came out of the "buy low, sell high" mold.

    "Buy an index fund"
    This is the most actionable, most mathematically supported, short-form investment advice ever. If you look up The Motley Fool in the encyclopedia -- or at least on Wikipedia -- you'll find that we are "famous for [our] view that, for the majority of people who have little time to keep track of stocks, the best investment strategy can be summed up in four words: 'Buy an index fund.'"

    And that remains true. If you've got little time to keep track of stocks, this really is the best investment advice around. It's not perfect -- after all, you might be asking, "Which index fund?" And then you'd want to specify certain characteristics, such as:

    • No load
    • Low annual cost
    • Low turnover
    • Broad index

    That means a fund like Vanguard 500 Index (FUND: VFINX), which coincidentally may allow you to "buy what you know" because it holds a lot of what you know, including Intel (Nasdaq: INTC) Coca-Cola, Altria (NYSE: MO), and Wachovia (NYSE: WB), each of which is in the fund's top 25 holdings.

    When cornered at cocktail parties for investment advice, this is the one piece I usually provide. After all, barely 25% of mutual funds over time beat the relevant market index. I don't think that you can really improve on this advice if you're stuck using four words or fewer.

    But you can spend more than four words on investment advice, and like the other four-word mantras above, doing so usually yields even better advice. Like the classic index fund, a managed fund can have no load, low cost, low turnover, and well-diversified holdings. It can, on rare occasions, be managed by someone or some team that has the ability to properly allocate capital and value businesses, thereby adding value beyond what the market average provides on its own. When you combine all of these factors, you get the potential to find a mutual fund that improves on the index fund and becomes something that will help you make money.

    Saturday, May 26, 2007

    Partnership for Inclusive Growth

    Indian Prime Minister Manmoham Singhs's address to the CII on 24th May 2997.

    Besides other things he touches upon an the Social Responsibility of Corporates and laid down a ten point social charter.

    Industry leaders including the president of CII, Sunil Mittal and other leaders have reacted in a positive manner.

    Lets hope the ugliness in the corporate arena is reduced by individual agendas set by industry organizations - like CII.

    Prime Ministers Sppech

    Some endorsement

    The endorsement article is also interesting because it talks about capping of corporate salaries...which I am sure most of us would like to follow.

    Tuesday, May 22, 2007

    The Market Function of Piracy

    The Market Function of Piracy

    In marketing the most effective way to introduce new products is the free sample. In 1978 Lever Brothers spent $15 million ($47.55 million in today's currency) delivering a free sample of Signal Mouthwash to two-thirds of all US households. The strategy was a success and the product remained on the market well into the 1990s.

    The significance of the free sample is product trial; it gets the product into consumers' hands. If consumers use the sample and like it, they may go on to buy the product and buy it again and again, that is, become repeat purchasers; they may even spread the good word to others. When repeat purchasing and favorable word of mouth kick in, the product's sales will experience a shift from slow to rapid growth and management will consider the product a success.

    Free sampling is the best method of introducing new products, but it is also the most expensive. Not surprisingly, then, Forbes ASAP magazine[1] reports this alternative way to practice free sampling:

    One security manager for a major manufacturer, who asked not to be identified, says she is sure some companies actually view being counterfeited as a boon to their efforts to build brand awareness. After all, she says, if some companies give away merchandise to expand market share, what's not to like about having someone else take on the expense of manufacturing and distributing the goods, as long as they're high-quality copies?

    Imitation is a universal trait of human behavior, ranging from the use of phrases and mannerisms of admired others to the reuse of hummable themes in music, recognizable images in paintings and well-known plots in literature and Disney movies. Imitation is a normal part of the competitive process in growth markets. As the sales of an innovative new product takes off, competitors enter the market with their own, often cheaper, versions.

    If the innovative product is patented, competitors make minor design or functional changes to secure their own patents. Knock-offs are unauthorized, usually cheaper copies. And, of course, the innovative marketer often produces its own cheap version, sometimes called a fighting brand, to fend off the competition. Over time real prices in the product category decline and quality improves.

    Knock-offs are pirated products. Because they are usually cheaper than the original, knock-offs tend to appeal to a more price-conscious segment of the market; that is, the buyers of pirated products are probably not legitimate prospects for the innovative new product, either because they cannot afford, or do not want to pay, the higher price. Message to the innovative marketer? Either drop the price of the new product or produce a cheaper version — or be the first to exploit a new technology, something the movie and recording industries chose not to do.[2] Many, including these two industries, would rather sue than practice good marketing.

    One study found that users of pirated software sufficiently influenced — by word-of-mouth communication — eighty percent of the software's prospects to buy the legal product and another described several scenarios in which piracy can help increase the sales of legal products.[3] The pirated product functions as a free sample that the innovator does not have to fund.



    So what about free copies? How do you compete with free, to state the battle cry of the new Luddites who fear digital technology? It's done all the time. One of the most dramatic recent instances of this was the strategy of science fiction writer Cory Doctorow who, over the course of three years, gave away 700,000 electronic copies of Down and Out in the Magic Kingdom. Sales of the hard copy went through six printings and surpassed his publisher's expectations. Many of the downloaders, Doctorow said, did not buy the hard copy and probably would not have regardless, but the giveaway created considerable buzz and a significant minority did buy the hard copy. Free — no matter where it comes from — can help sell.


    Thursday, May 17, 2007

    Ancient Wisdom applied to modern investing

    There was a wise man in a smallish town on the banks of a low-profile river. He had (as usual) three sons whom he wanted to teach, among other things, the time-tested principles of managing money.

    So one fine day, he summoned all of them and gave them Rs 100 each (this was in old times, so the money was worth quite a lot!). He asked them to 'invest' the money as per their best judgment and report to him.

    The first son went to the local representative of the kingdom's treasury and deposited the money there -- which promised to give him Rs 105 after one year.

    The second son lent money to a farmer who promised him a 50 per cent share in the farm produce, along with the principal, at the end of the year.

    The third son, usually the most enterprising of the lot, had a trader friend who had recently told him about the fortunes to be made by trade in Baghdadi goods in the town and its surroundings. The third son gave his money to this trader with the agreement that he would get half of the profits the trader makes.

    As usual, they reconvened to discuss their experiences. The second son was whispering to the first son that it was not fair that third son always wins in these learning-the-profound-principles-practically matters. The wise old man however had a different line of argument!

    "You have done well. All of you!"

    The third son was taken aback a bit. He was expecting the usual pat on the back and was looking forward to the opportunity of booing his brothers. The sons typically did not interrupt or question the wise old man, for, he was wise as well as old and, not to forget, he was also their father. This, however, was not a 'typical' time. He ventured,

    "My investment is most remunerative. The trader is likely to make Rs 80 on each Rs 100 invested. How can you put that in the same league as BigBro's pathetic Rs 105 and MiddleBro's mediocre Rs 140 at best?"

    The wise old man smiled his wise old man's smile and spoke in his wise-old-manly manner,

    "Agreed. However, your trader may have an accident due to bad weather or his goods may go bad by the time he reaches here or might simply be rejected by the people here because they don't like the goods. On the other hand, MiddleSon's investment is lot less likely to have many of those issues. The farmer he has invested in has been cultivating land and selling his produce for more than 15 years now."

    "In that case, why is BigBro's investment at par with MiddleBro's?"

    The wise man was still undisturbed. He had expected these questions. It was all falling in place like an unravelling jigsaw.

    "Although the farmer is more reliable than the trader, this year's crop may be not as good as an average year's. Or there might be too much of the same crop and people may pay less for the produce or there might be an attack of locusts and so on. On the other hand, the promise of Rs 105 in case of BigBro's investment is certain. The treasury of the king is the most reliable investment, at least in our kingdom."

    The three sons nodded in understanding. The elder two were happy to have finally done something which was not inferior to their youngest sibling. Encouraged by this the second son gathered enough courage to ask an intelligent sounding question.

    "Then how do I decide whom to give my money?"

    The wise man was now smiling from ear to ear. The last piece in the jigsaw had fallen in place. The crore-rupee question (in those times, dollar and millions were still not very popular) had been put forth.

    The wise man spoke, "That is the essence of sound money management. You need to ensure that you do not focus excessively on any one extreme in terms of reliability and attractiveness. Do not put all your money with the treasury because you do not need to have perfect assurance on all your money. Do not put all your money with the trader either, because you do not want to be left without any money at all in pursuit of attractive returns. Understand that there is trade-off in attractive investments and their reliability. Find your own level of reliability and attractiveness that you are comfortable with. That, my children, is how you will make the best use of your money. Now, who is cooking supper?"

    Thus, the wise old man successfully imparted to his three sons the basic principle of risk and returns and they had a decent supper afterwards.

    We would, however, like to expound on the matter a bit further for it to be of practical use to you.

    One of the most important assumptions of Modern Portfolio Theory is the relationship between risk and returns. Higher risk is expected to be rewarded with higher returns. While this principle has been at the heart of portfolio allocations of most institutional investors, individual investors have thus far used risk-return tradeoffs only intuitively at best or not at all at worst.

    A number for risk!

    An objective measure of risk is what is known as standard deviation. It is a measure of the variability of returns on an asset. Simply stated, it means how much wide off the returns can be from the expected average. It is typically calculated over a specified period -- say a year or 10 years.

    Once you have the price of an asset for a given period, you can calculate the standard deviation fairly easily. Broad market indexes such as Sensex and Nifty have annual standard deviation of 20-25%, while mid-cap indexes or sector specific indexes have a higher standard deviation of 25-35%.

    Single stocks can have annual standard deviation ranging from 30% to as high as 100%. Gold is less volatile and has standard deviation of 10-15%.

    The fixed income investments have zero to very low standard deviation, i.e. 0% for FDs (you have fixed returns) or 3-5% for debt mutual funds (almost fixed returns).

    Equity mutual funds being diversified across multiple stocks have lower standard deviation than single stocks although amongst them, there is a wide variance.

    Better managed funds have lower standard deviation for a given level of annual returns. It is thus imperative to check a fund's risk profile before concluding on the basis of returns alone that it is a good fund.

    Return for each extra unit of risk!

    Modern Portfolio Theory argues that to take on risks without having adequate returns from an asset is irrational and wasteful. What you need to be aware of is that you are not committing this folly in designing your portfolio.

    Often enough we purchase some stocks and mutual funds when we find out from 'sources' that the returns given by them have been high in the last 1-2 years. This is only half the story. You also need to find out if the risk involved in your proposed investment is not too high.

    Otherwise you would be left wondering like the third son in the story above why the so-called investment opportunity is not the only one you should wholeheartedly pursue.


    http://www.rediff.com/money/2007/may/17money.htm

    Sunday, April 29, 2007

    Differentiation in a Highly competitive market

    Wharton article on Differentiation in a Highly coPublishmpetitive market

    The race for deals is on in private equity. Gone are the days when firms simply did due diligence, loaded on leverage and hoped for outsized returns after selling the company a few years down the road. Today, record-setting bids and unprecedented capital inflows have created an overheated environment that requires new strategies for those looking to stay ahead of the pack. Produced in cooperation with the Wharton Private Equity Club, this special report highlights the innovative ways firms are working to source deals, set themselves apart in an auction process and ensure performance once a deal is done. Also, industry specialists offer a close-up view of the debt markets and the hot energy market, which saw one of the largest-ever private equity proposals earlier this year.

    Progress…What are we leaving behind!!!

    April 28th, 2007 by chetanshah

    Couple of incidents over the last 8-10 days have made me think….Progress at what cost….and what are we leaving behind to catch up with us….

    First incident -

    I was on my way in the evening on some household errand….just about a kilometer from home, after the police chowky, I saw an old woman kneeling on the road where a young man was lying probably unconscious. There were a few fruit and vegetable vendors around….but hardly anybody seemed bothered. The errand being urgent, and to avoid a traffic jam behind me, I did not stop to find out what was wrong. I was consciously more conscious about dead traffic than about the unconscious young man and the old lady. I continued to progress, though I felt helpless in the situation.

    Second incident -

    Just the day before yesterday, on my way to the Parsi Gymkhana swimming pool, with my son, I saw a couple, with 3-4 kids at a turning after Hutchings High School lane. The man had in his one arm one child, and was almost begging with the other hand for motorists to stop and help him. With my son with me, and doubting the fact that a young man with wife and kids, decently clad, would need much help, I proceeded to the pool, without paying much heed.

    On my way back I remembered to check if that family had found any help, and decided to stop and ask them the problem. Astonishingly, they were still there. Though a bit frightful, I decided to stop and ask them. I pulled down the window pane, and as I was about to ask, there was a loud sound of a horn from behind me. It came from a bigger car, and people in it, obviously, did not think it was worthwhile for me to block their way just to ask / help a man on the road. I obliged them and continued to proceed, without, again, being of much use to the man. I felt pathetic and helpless at the way things worked that day. Even if I wanted to help a distressed family, the social conditions did not permit them. The mental mood, social setup, security and authenticity of such incidents all played on my mind while deciding or acting under the given circumstances. Probably, it made my mental setup look weak and shaky, though it isn’t the case.

    Third incident -

    Not really and incident, but a fact of life, that is true today more than anytime in the past. In the business newspaper that I read, there was an interesting letter to the editor. It was about how children are being used rampantly in advertising on television and other media. It has gone to the extent where children are being influenced to influence the decision of purchase of products. Not just making them more intelligent, but at the same time snatching away their innocence. Children and childhood need to be preserved to their most naive form to enable them to experience the joy and pleasure of their age. If they do the same things as children, what their parents are supposed to do as parents then there is hardly much difference between the two.

    A live example of that occurred yesterday. I was helping my son play a computer game. Since he could not manage to handle the multiple keys needed to keep the cars on track, I decided to show him how to do it. When I took the drivers seat and my son next to me….cheering me with words like “you can do it….”, “you are just one behind ….”, “look forward….almost done..”. I was astonished that my, yet to be, five year old could cheer me to victory in the same manner as I would cheer him.

    Then today I happened to hear a TV program which my son likes to watch. Though intended for high school children, my son likes to see this program given the familiar school like atmosphere and activities portrayed in it. In the absence of the ever addicting cartoon channels, he is allowed to see this program. Slowly, as I overheard the program, I began to realize that the words and toning used in the program was similar to what my son was using while cheering me up in the computer game. I quickly got the connection between what he sees on TV is reflected directly in his behavior at home, and probably and more likely at school. Though good in one aspect, but vulnerable in another…..I could see the connection between what the letter to the editor actually meant - advertisements making children feel bigger than they actually are and in the meanwhile, forgoing all childhood joys and pleasures.

    These are the 3 incidents that made me think that even though we seem to be progressing at break neck speeds, are we really moving ahead in the right direction? Is a single empty stomach not a betrayal of the fact that we are progressing? Do not our social, governmental, professional and personal responsibilities include paying attention and heed to happenings outside our sphere of progress? How does one ensure that the people asking for help are the real ones who need help and not fake ones?

    The incidents that I have mentioned are commonplace and would have occurred in our lives sometime or the other. Yet, many would have behaved in ways similar to what I did. Many would have gone a step ahead and tried to help. Is there a more concrete way to approach such problems? Do we have a setup that can handle such situations? Do we need to create or strengthen such setups? Are there any better solutions?

    Progress, though you have given us what we didn’t have, do not take away from us of what little we did have - peace of mind!!!